Economic Impact and Food Security Effects of Trade Disruptions in Agricultural Products for Sweden

This study evaluates the economic and food security implications of trade disruptions in Sweden's agricultural sector. Using a mathematical programming model, the research simulates scenarios of reduced imports of key agricultural inputs (fertilizers, fuel, feed, pesticides, and foreign labor) and food products. Results show trade disruptions reduce producer surplus by up to 75% and consumer surplus by 21%, while food self-sufficiency can drop by 55%. Conversely, certain scenarios improve food security through increased domestic production. The study underscores the need for tailored policies to mitigate economic losses and enhance food security resilience.

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